The
Economist included a long report in an issue before Christmas, introducing a
new Chinese initiative using various data sources to keep score of its
citizens. The project has already had a couple of iterations and trials, and
seems to be set for a wider implementation.
Citizens
can score points by doing deeds perceived as beneficial to society. More often,
they will be docked points, for anything from traffic misdemeanours to poor
credit or late tax returns or to not visiting elderly relatives enough.
Maintaining a good score entitles citizens to better jobs or other rewards.
The author
of the piece was clearly horrified by the prospect, and initially so was I. But
the more I thought about it the more I liked it. It is also impressive,
requiring lots of data and IT connectivity, things that in the past have
hampered this sort of holistic initiative – such as the UK NHS attempts to
create a national health data system.
It all
reeks of Big Brother, the final arrival of Orwell’s dystopia, just thirty years
late. And clearly, if the system becomes an arm of autarchy and oppression then
it is something to be feared. The Chinese a tinkering with penalties for
criticising the state or organising protest. Clearly setting up a system whereby
the only model citizen is a compliant one is not something to celebrate.
But this
aside is this really something to be feared? Tellingly, the Economist author
came up with the old libertarian chestnuts to justify his or her negative
attitude. So, caring for parents is a private matter. But should it be? Elderly
care costs are a major vulnerability for all societies in the 21st century, so
the more responsible families are doing an important civic duty. The negative
attitude feels to me to be rather old fashioned and masculine, the same type of
thinking that confined women to centuries of unpaid work and lost
opportunities.
Then there
are the things like not declaring everything for tax or working in cash,
portrayed as some sort of civil liberty. Rubbish! We’d all be better off if we
all complied with fiscal laws all the time – and it is usually a privilege of
the rich to get away with loopholes.
My first
exposure to a transparent society was via living in Stockholm in the 1990’s.
The Scandinavians were always way ahead of the IT curve, but also had a
Lutheran sense of civic responsibility, a sort of collectivism, even close to
communism as Marx originally intended it. Key to the system was a personal
number and ID card, used for almost everything. In our first weeks in the
country, while our requests for numbers were being processed, it was actually
quite hard to get things done – as an example any credit card purchase was
routinely backed and linked to the number on the ID card.
I came to
love the efficiency of the system. It was used for all tax related matters and
saved a lot of paperwork and reporting. A by-product was that any citizen could
look up the tax details of any other, including their income. That took some
getting used to, but in the end I thought – why not? You can imagine what this
did for civic responsibility and against corruption.
Another
example of the benefits of big citizens data is emerging in India, where a
massive national database is revolutionising how benefit and subsidy disbursements
are made, eliminating middlemen, waste and most corruption. In general,
developing nations have the most to gain.
A couple of
years ago I mused about starting a couple of internet businesses. One of my
ideas was a system of reporting courteous or disrespectful driving by text. Any
driver could report any other, by typing in the vehicle licensing plate and a
few categories. Some firms already do this, with “how is my driving?” stickers
on the back of trucks and vans. One flaw was the temptation to text while
driving, so I wondered about limiting it to passengers – but nowadays
voice-based software could remedy that.
Finance
could come from insurance companies or the local police or licensing bureaux. The
police, in NYC at least, don’t really have resources for traffic patrols, and
the benefits to insurance companies are obvious. Apart from dreams of making
money, my motivation was as someone who gets frustrated by reckless or selfish
drivers. Almost weekly I witness some crazy road race at double the speed limit
– why should these people be free to put the lives of the rest of us at risk?
I shared
the idea with some friends. Some were concerned about false positives or
vindictive campaigns. But Trip Advisor and the like show this to be a false
worry. The software would deal with it – multiple reports would be needed to
count as valid, and reporters would also be checked as valid. The more
interesting concern came from a German friend, who immediately thought of the
Stasi and the historical culture of ratting on your compatriots. It is no
surprise that Germany remains the most nervous about this sort of innovation.
But I think the benefits outweigh the risks.
So if you
fancy making money, take my idea and run with it! Once you’ve made a few
million, slip me 1% and I’ll be even happier.
Another
futuristic viewpoint came from the excellent Lionel Shriver in her recent novel
“The Mandibles”, about a future dystopia in the US. The book is both funny and
thought provoking, and somehow seems even less farfetched after the election of
2016. In the endgame, the US divides into two nations. One is bankrupt, almost
all resources go to supporting the old, and everyone has an implanted memory
chip auto-taxing all income at a high rate while preventing any workarounds. In
the other, there is no law except the primitive superiority of power, so
everyone carries guns and survives on their wits, tending to preclude support
for anyone needy.
The novel
brilliantly provides a logical journey to this endgame. In a way, the reader is
invited to choose between the two dystopias. I found this a helpful process,
because in the end I was happier with the prospect of state control, though
obviously ideally not in a bankrupt nation. If I can rely on the state to act
with integrity and for the interests of citizens, I would be very happy to
sacrifice my ability to cheat, and even happier to lose all the hassle and
paperwork. Why would I want to cheat the state anymore than I would want to
cheat my family or my neighbours? In the end, that is what cheating involves.
The ones who do it most today tend to be wealthy, and they are the ones
lobbying against ID cards and automation.
No, I for
one am finally ready for Big Brother. Bring it on; its time has come. This sort
of innovation can benefit everyone (except cheats), especially in poor
countries. Yes, we need safeguards against abuse, and the single party state in
China certainly has the potential to abuse its power. But in the end even they
require the trust of their citizenry to operate. Beyond sensible safeguards, let
us not fall for all this libertarian nonsense – it is often a smokescreen to
defend selfish practices of those with privilege.
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