A recent
survey showed the continuing decline in trust in almost all institutions of the
US. Of course, the president is doing a lot of damage, and helping to drag
congress lower from a low base. The only group widely trusted now is the armed
forces. There seems to be almost no scrutiny of the military in the US, just
thoughtless adulation. Their public relations people have done a great job.
Here is a
thought. What tends to happen in countries where no one is trusted except the
military? The answer is obvious – military coups. The way things are going,
that is not a possibility to discount just now. A lot of the public would
actually support a coup. In a minor way, it has already happened, because most
of the power in the white house now resides with military veterans.
Noting the
survey, The Economist focused on a different institution where trust had
diminished, that of corporations. Seemingly, there has been something of a
collapse of trust in corporate America. Having lived here for five years, I am
amazed that there was any trust to start with.
Look at the
most egregious scandals of the last fifty years and corporate America’s
fingerprints are all over them. We should start with the tobacco industry, now
known to have covered up and manipulated evidence about the toxicity of its
product over a generation. Surely this scandal could never be repeated?
Actually, it has already, by the sugary drinks industry. The playbook has been
almost identical, and the outcome rather similar as well.
One clue
came in a profile I once read of a senator from Georgia whose name I don’t
remember. The profile made play of a fridge in the office of this lawmaker,
which was bursting with Coke, duly offered to all visitors as a sign of friendship.
We can only surmise what benefits the Coca Cola Company has received in return
for its modest generosity.
This is how
things work in the US. One area where Trump is absolutely right is his plea to
“drain the swamp” in Washington. Sadly, almost all his actions so far have had
the opposite effect.
Chief among
the generally detrimental acts has been the way the administration has attacked
regulation. It is true that excessive regulation hampers consumers and can also
add government costs and create barriers to entry, but the purpose of most
regulation is to protect consumers, and it is that type of regulation that is
being swept away. This has been most obvious in the energy sector so far, but
there will be plenty more to come in the finance sector.
The three
biggest contributors to the swamp are lobbyists for energy, finance and health,
and it is no surprise that the first two of these are leading the assault on
regulation. The third one, health, is the real reason why health care reform is
so elusive. The parties argue about how to allocate costs – essentially between
richer and poorer people – but the true scandal is the total cost of the
system. No matter how it is allocated, Americans will receive a raw deal. And
the high costs are basically a result of the equivalent of those Coke fridges
stuffed into the offices of congress, supplied instead by health care
providers. They make sure that the high costs remain built in.
I have not
finished with scandals. Shkreli with his drug prices was just the one who went
further and got caught. Wells Fargo with their phantom accounts and default
unnecessary products is the same story. You can add the companies supplying
water to Flint, or lobbying to build yet more homes on flood plains in Houston,
or to reduce building code requirements against fire – in London for Grenfell
Towers or the US. A common theme is companies acting to the edge of regulations
that they have worked to minimize.
I worked in
an energy corporation for 28 years, during which we had our share of scandals
such as Nigerian exploitation and South African tacit support for apartheid. I
was occasionally embarrassed about where Shell ended up in an argument, but
nearly all the time I could see how reasonable trade offs led to that position,
and I could trust my fellow employees. This changed with Phil Watts and the
reserves inflation scandal – the first time that personal incentives and stock
market pressure pushed someone over a line.
The 1990’s
saw all these factors come into play. Executive play ballooned. Pension fund
calculations led to minimal growth expectations of 6% real for everything, a
clearly unsustainable level. And politics was taken over by capital at the
expense of labour, and, I would argue, of citizens. That Georgia senator is
more beholden to his donors that his voters, and that leads to trouble.
If I were
to advise US political thinkers, especially on the left, I would advocate
putting the citizen at the centre of their platform. This is hardly a radical
idea, but it would represent a clear departure from where things lie today,
even for Democrats, who have their own corporate buddies such as accident
chasing lawyers and protectionist trade unions.
A citizen
first program could be distinctive. It could be effective too – look at how the
risk of customer defection led companies to renounce Trump’s white supremacist
tendencies and earlier LGBT discrimination. The people have power, if we
remember how to use it.
One simple
example of a citizen led policy would be to legislate that an advertised price
for any good or service represented the final payable price. Wow, what a
revolutionary idea! Most countries have this already, but I was shocked when I
first visited the US and was asked to pay $10.80 for something priced at $9.99
– because of taxes. The label should read $10.80! And if I order a theatre
ticket online listed at $59, then $59 is what I should pay, not $89 including
nebulous fees.
For
corporate policy, the key theme for my party would be to promote competition.
Competition drives innovation and service and better deals for citizens. In
most US sectors, competition has declined, due primarily to lobbying for a
skewed playing field by incumbents. Peter Thiel gave it away in Zero to One –
any smart entrepreneur these days is only interested in pursuing a business
that can become a monopoly. Monopolies feed themselves not their customers.
Policy should minimise monopolies. That is also why trade is generally a good
thing, since it generates competition and better deals for consumers.
The stock
market has risen because policy – enacted and intended – is giving yet more
power to corporations at the expense of citizens and further expanding
inequality. Jobs, they cry! That is the excuse for every removal of regulation
or reduction of worker influence or curtailment of trade and competition.
Instead, start with the citizen and competition and jobs will follow. They will
be good jobs too.
Obama sort
of had this idea when he argued that all his policy decisions were made with
the criterion of what it would do for the middle class. But I don’t think he
articulated this clearly enough nor pursued the logic far enough. Some groups
of white citizens in unstable jobs certainly did not feel he delivered for
them. Democrats are looking for a distinctive theme, and for sure Bannon is
right when he notes that focusing on minority rights and historical injustices
will not resonate. So let us instead start with citizens, all citizens, and see
where it leads.
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